Daily Telegraph:悉尼房屋供应不足将继续下去
悉尼房子供应不足的情况在今后五年都不能得到纠正。
根据澳洲最大的房地产开发商之一的Stockland老总说法,悉尼需要五年的时间才能扭转房子供应不足的问题。
Stockland首席行政长官Mark Steinhart虽然州政府很努力地释放出新土地来让市民们建设房子,也不断地建设很多新公寓,但是要达到供需平衡,还有很长的一段路要走。
昨天他在悉尼的一个房地产论坛上锁,很可能要4到5年才能扭转悉尼房子量供应不足的问题。
唯一可以缓解悉尼楼房供应不足的途径就是政府要释放大量的土地,让开发商建设更多的高密度楼房。
不过这些都要一段时间才能见效。
Mark Steinhart的这一番言论和财长Joe Hockey认为澳洲房地产没有泡沫互相呼应。
本周,联邦财长Joe Hockey说来,认为澳洲有房地产泡沫的分析员们做的是懒惰的分析,而忽视了长期存在的供应问题。
根据RP Data 的统计,在过去一年,澳洲的房价平均增加超过10%。
而悉尼的房价在过去两年也增加了将近24%。
而前财长Peter Costello在这一房地产论坛上说,各州在释放土地和转让土地上的各种苛捐杂稅导致土地供应受到限制。
他说在澳洲建设房子的费用并不太高。
但是澳洲各大城市附近的土地非常昂贵。
我们过去几年对房屋的需求不断上涨,但是各州的土地供应还是受到相当严格的管制。
Stockland首席行政长官Mark Steinhart说,澳洲各大城市都有土地供应问题,但是最紧张的还是在悉尼。
他预测,澳洲的房地产价格不会再像过去两年那样疯狂上涨。
他预测今后几年,悉尼的房子年增长率大概在5%左右。
布里斯班4.5%, 墨尔本3.5%。
但是预计珀斯的房价将掉头往下。
Sydney housing undersupply to continue
THE lack of available housing in Sydney will take up to five years to correct, according to one of Australia's largest property developers.
STOCKLAND chief executive Mark Steinhart said despite efforts to release land for housing and the construction of new apartment blocks in the nation's biggest city, it would take a long time to correct the undersupply in the market.
"It will take probably four or five years to address the undersupply in Sydney," he told a property forum on Wednesday.
"The only way you can do it is through the release of land and through densification, and that's certainly the approach governments are taking, but it takes time."
Mr Steinhart's comments follow federal Treasurer Joe Hockey's dismissal of claims Australia was in the midst of a property bubble.
The treasurer said talk of a bubble in the property market was "lazy analysis" and ignored supply issues.
House prices have risen more than 10 per cent in the past year, according to property research business RP Data, while Sydney prices have jumped almost 24 per cent in two years.
Former treasurer Peter Costello told the property forum in Sydney that he believed it was state government taxes on the release and transfer of land that were restricting supply.
"Building a house is comparatively cheap," he said.
"What is expensive in Australia is land.
"So we have an increasing demand but we have quite a restrictive supply of land."
Mr Steinhart said each of Australia's major metropolitan cities faced supply issues, though the situation was most pronounced in Sydney.
But he said Australians shouldn't expect the recent housing market boom to continue and prices would grow at much more moderate rates in the next few years.
He expects Sydney prices to rise by about five per cent a year, while Brisbane and Melbourne are likely looking at growth of around 4.5 and 3.5 per cent, respectively.
But prices were likely to remain flat in Perth due to the slowdown in mining investment.